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10 Worst Real Estate Markets For 2009

December 22nd, 2008

Listed below are the 10 worst real estate markets in the United States, with 8 being in California, predicted for 2009. 8 in one state, huh? That’s an incredible hit; almost 25% of a projected change? That’s pretty serious. Arizona, with it’s foreclosures stacking up in Phoenix, is still a valuable investment. With the scare of the economy’s fall, sellers are wanting to liquidate quickly. There are deals out there. Contact us if you’re interested in buying now.

1. Los Angeles, CA
2008 median house price: $375,340
2009 projected change: -24.9%
2010 projected change: -5.1%

2. Stockton, CA
2008 median house price: $248,050
2009 projected change: -24.7%
2010 projected change: -4.0%

3. Riverside, CA
2008 median house price: $256,540
2009 projected change: -23.3%
2010 projected change: -4.8%

4. Miami, FL
2008 median house price: $293,590
2009 projected change: -22.8%
2010 projected change: -6.4%

5. Sacramento, CA
2008 median house price: $225,140
2009 projected change: -22.2%
2010 projected change: 2.3%

6. Santa Ana-Anaheim, CA
2008 median house price: $532,810
2009 projected change: -22.0%
2010 projected change: -3.5%

7. Fresno, CA
2008 median house price: $257,170
2009 projected change: -21.6%
2010 projected change: -3.3%

8. San Diego, CA
2008 median house price: $412,490
2009 projected change: -21.1%
2010 projected change: -2.9%

9. Bakersfield, CA

2008 median house price: $227,270
2009 projected change: -20.9%
2010 projected change: -2.5%

10. Washington, DC

2008 median house price: $343,160
2009 projected change: -19.9%
2010 projected change: -5.7%

Posted in General Real Estate News | No Comments »

Tucson, Golf, All Year Round

November 16th, 2008

When it comes to Tucson, the sun shines more than 95% of the year. And when the northeast becomes cold in September, Tucson is at its greatest. When I say cold, I mean, BRRR, it’s cold out!

It’s November and the weather is at the mid-60s in the early morning, and it gets to about 80 during the afternoon until 5. Perfect weather in Tucson if you ask me. But to those it matters to, Tucson golf is optimal year round. In the summer, you have yourself your clubs and a personal cooler with all your ice-cold drinks. Now? All you need are your clubs and a bottle of water!

The weather is perfect out to hit 18 holes! And there are a handful of great courses to visit in this city. If you’re in the westside, the best place is Starr Pass and at the north, you have numerous courses in the Foothills. There are golf courses with high to low fees, but like I said, tee times in Tucson are good year round!

Enjoy golf in Tucson today!

Posted in Outdoor Activities | No Comments »

FDIC’s Bair Pushes Aggresive Mortgage Plan

November 14th, 2008

In a surprise move, FDIC Chairwoman Sheila Bair Friday unveiled details of her plan to have the government help delinquent homeowners.

There are two key elements to the proposal.

First, housing payments for delinquent borrowers would be reduced to 31% of gross monthly income.

To get there, mortgage rates could be set as low as 3% for five years, before increasing at an annual rate of 1 percentage point until they hit the prevailing market rate. Loan terms could be extended as long as 40 years.

Second, to encourage servicers and investors to participate, the government would share up to 50% of the losses if a borrower who had been helped ended up in default anyway. The risk of re-default had been one obstacle to getting lenders on board with systematic modification plans.

In addition, the FDIC would pay servicers who process mortgages $1,000 for each re-worked loan.

The plan is expected to initially help 2.2 million borrowers get new loans; after some borrowers re-default, 1.5 million would ultimately keep their homes, the FDIC estimated.

The plan would cost an estimated $24.4 billion, which Bair has said could come from the $700 billion bailout Congress approved last month.

“It is imperative to provide incentives to achieve a sufficient scale in loan modifications to stem the reductions in housing prices and rising foreclosures,” the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said in a statement Friday.

Unless Bair’s proposal gets the Treasury Department’s blessing, it would have to be approved by Congress or wait for review by the Obama administration.

Power struggle

Bair’s move Friday sets up a public power struggle not often seen within an administration.

The FDIC continues to discuss the plan with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who Wednesday said it was one of several under discussion. Supporters took that to mean it had little chance of moving forward.

Bair, however, is more optimistic.

“I don’t think it’s dead,” Bair told National Public Radio this morning. “I think we’re still talking. He didn’t close the door completely. It’s just where the money comes from is really the issue we’re debating.”

The FDIC chairwoman has long wanted the government to take a more active role in helping troubled homeowners. She initiated a similar plan at IndyMac, one of the largest mortgage lenders, after the agency took it over in mid-July.

Bush administration officials, however, have resisted her efforts, instead unveiling a plan Tuesday to streamline modifications of loans held or guaranteed by Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500) and Freddie Mac (FRE, Fortune 500).

Though he praised Bair’s proposal, Paulson backed away from supporting it this week. A Treasury spokeswoman Friday referred questions to Paulson’s comments from Wednesday.

“As we evaluate the merits of any new proposal, we also will have to identify and justify the means to finance it,” Paulson said. “We must be careful to distinguish this type of assistance, which essentially involves direct spending, from the type of investments that are intended to promote financial stability, protect the taxpayer, and be recovered under the TARP legislation.”

Congressional Democrats, however, have continued to press for increased assistance to homeowners. They have publicly backed Bair, which could give her proposal the support needed for adoption.

“[The Fannie/Freddie plan] should not be considered a replacement for the guarantee program authorized by the recently-enacted financial rescue law which the FDIC has agreed to operate,” Sen. Christopher Dodd, D-Conn. said Tuesday, after the mortgage finance plan was announced.

Acknowledging that many Americans who are paying their mortgages may be angry that their neighbors are getting help, Bair said that foreclosure hurts everyone in a neighborhood by bringing down home values.

“These escalating foreclosures are creating more and more downward pressure on home prices, which is having a very negative impact on our economy,” Bair said on National Public Radio Friday. Americans should realize “it’s in [their] economic self-interest to get this situation stabilized.”

No principal reduction

Borrowers who are at least 60 days late on payments would qualify for this program.

Servicers would have to systematically review all the loans in their portfolios to determine whether they would recover more value by modifying the mortgage rather than foreclosing on the home.

But unlike some other government programs, the FDIC proposal would not reduce the principal to bring it in line with the home’s current value. Instead it would allow part of the principal to be deferred free of interest to the end of the loan.

Borrowers who sell or refinance before paying off the debt would have to pay the principal at that time or work out a short-sale with the bank, where the servicer agrees to forgive the outstanding balance.

Some consumer advocates consider principal reduction key to assisting borrowers in areas where property values have plummeted, leaving many with mortgages greater than their home’s worth - or “underwater.”

Under the Hope for Homeowners program implemented last month, mortgages would be written down to 90% of the home’s current market value and borrowers would be refinanced into 30-year fixed-rate mortgages insured by the Federal Housing Administration.

The FDIC’s program, on the other hand, would not be as beneficial for so-called underwater homeowners. For situations where the mortgage is worth more than the home, the government’s loss-sharing arrangement would gradually decline to 20% before ending for homes where the loan-to-value exceeds 150%.

The loss-sharing arrangement would last for eight years. Only mortgages below the conforming loan limits for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac - up to $625,500 depending on location - qualify.

The agency is not pursuing principal reductions because it can achieve affordable monthly payments without them, Gray said.

Also, it’s easier to convince investors to agree to a workout if the loan balance is not changed. When the principal is lowered, the value of loan modification over foreclosure is reduced.

IndyMac as a model

At IndyMac, agency officials have already modified 5,000 troubled mortgages, achieving affordable payments through interest rate modifications in 70% of the cases. Another 20,000 delinquent borrowers are in the process of having their income verified.

Taking over IndyMac allowed the FDIC to put into practice its call for a streamlined system to mortgage modifications, a move other servicers have since followed. Until then, loans were being adjusted on a case-by-case basis, which overwhelmed servicers and increased the flood of foreclosures.

Payments on the modified IndyMac loans, which are being adjusted to between 31% and 38% of income, are lowered by $380 on average, Bair told lawmakers last month.

A total of 65,000 borrowers, or 10% of IndyMac’s loan portfolio, were delinquent when the government took over. The agency is reaching out to another 20,000 delinquent borrowers, while the remaining 20,000 borrowers are not eligible for help for a variety of reasons, including that they no longer live in the home, have turned in the keys or are already in the foreclosure process.

The agency is adjusting both loans that IndyMac owns and those it services that have been bundled into securities and sold to investors. According to the FDIC, officials are not having trouble convincing investors - who are often accused of blocking modifications - that they’ll recover more if the loan is adjusted rather than if it goes into foreclosure.

“You demonstrate to investors that modifications are the better alternative,” Gray said.

Consumer advocates support Bair

Consumer advocates have repeatedly said the economy and housing market won’t recover until more is done to help stem the tide of foreclosures. They don’t feel the current foreclosure mitigation efforts undertaken by the Bush administration and by banks are sufficient.

The FDIC plan, however, will do more to help troubled homeowners and do it more quickly, they said.

“Chairman Bair’s proposal has the potential to have an impact of the size and scope necessary to get ahead of the foreclosure crisis and put the economy back on its moorings,” said John Taylor, head of the National Community Reinvestment Coalition, an association of more than 600 community-based organizations.

Credits: CNNMoney.com

Posted in Mortgage & Finance | No Comments »

Builders In Tucson Going Green

November 14th, 2008

I was sitting between two local television journalists at a recent press conference, and I couldn’t help but listen in on their conversation.

“What did you do Saturday?” asked one handsome face of the other.

“I covered the Green Festival.”

“Uhh!” the first handsome face retorted. “I am so sick of all that green stuff!”

If it hadn’t occurred to me before, it surely did then: This mainstream green fad is merely that, a fad. The “Green Teams” and the newscast fillers featuring all those little simple steps you can take to become more environmentally friendly will go away, to be replaced by some other graphics-friendly issue that can be summed up in a 30-second spot.

Fortunately, the real work in the greening of America is going on behind the scenes, in the trenches of local government and in the nonprofit sector.

Here in the arid west, there is perhaps nowhere better to apply green principles than in our homes. Think about the average desert home: approximately 2,000 square feet (up from an average of 1,000 square feet in 1950), an energy-sucking machine, made from materials hauled in from somewhere far away. At least we have a lot of room to stretch our legs.

When we use energy, we use water. Each kilowatt hour of thermoelectric generation, according to a Pima County white paper on green building, requires approximately 25 gallons of water. So it behooves us to reduce the amount of energy used in this region that is so famously dry.

In May, Pima County began a program to do something about this–and now, Habitat for Humanity’s local chapter is joining in the effort. The group, which builds homes for low-income residents using volunteers and donations, is taking small steps to make their newest projects comply with the county’s regional Green Building Program. The program is similar to the U.S. Green Building Council’s 14-year-old LEED ( Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) green-building rating system , except that it takes into account the unique aspects of the local environment.

“The overall concept of the regional system is to have a system that reflects our climate and region,” says Rich Franz, an architect with the Pima County Development Services Department. “Water and, to a lesser extent, energy are more important in our regional system than LEED. That is because water is key for us–water equals energy; energy equals water.”

The regional system gives credits for water-saving landscaping, decreased indoor water use, and not having a swimming pool, a fountain or a garbage disposal, among other things.

Concurrently, Pima County has been awarded a LEED for Homes providership by the USGBC. This allows builders to voluntarily take part in the various LEED programs with the county’s assistance.

On the southeast side of Tucson, Habitat for Humanity volunteers are building a small home in a middle-class subdivision that looks pretty much like all of the other homes around it. It’s not made of straw bale or adobe; it’s hooked up to the grid, and there are no solar arrays casting shadows. In fact, the green aspects of the home are quite subtle. They include stub-outs for a gray-water line, a frame-in for a future photovoltaic solar system (but not the system itself), water-saving landscaping features, a dedicated space for recycling, prep for a solar water heater and other small steps.

Nonetheless, the home is much greener than it would have been had the local Habitat group not started discussing, about a year ago, ways to make their homes more energy- and water-efficient. This is the first Habitat project to be built under the county program.

“The industry is going in this direction, and a lot of the things that are incorporated into the green-building model make sense,” says Patrick Pitman, Habitat Tucson’s assistant director of construction. “What we wrestle with at Habitat is finding the right balance with how green we can be and still not raise the threshold on price; if you go full-blown green, there is some cost, but there are things we can do that make sense and don’t have a high cost.”

Pitman says that Habitat learned a few years ago that trying to build on the extreme end of green technology wasn’t going to pay off. The group built a rammed-earth home and a few straw-bale homes in northwest Tucson with a group of UA students–and found that such ultra-green methods were too expensive and too difficult for volunteers to work with.

“Our volunteers like wood,” he says. “We like to keep it simple and affordable, but we are continuing to tweak our product to find the green criteria we can incorporate into the build and still be in the sweet spot in terms of cost and affordability.”

According to local green builder Francis Massland, a member of the Habitat committee, that “sweet spot” is liable to get bigger as green-building technologies become more affordable. Moreover, there are a lot of inexpensive things that price-conscious homebuilders like Habitat (and the rest of us) can do now–from using different techniques to apply stucco, to installing a heat shield on the roof, to planting trees in front of windows–that will save energy and water.

“Green may be more expensive on day one, but it is always cheaper on day 1,000,” he says.

Despite only being in place since May, and despite a precipitous drop in new-home permits, the Pima County regional Green Building Program appears to be off to a robust start.

About 10 percent of the residential projects filed with Pima County are currently participating in the program, says Ric Hicks, a plan examiner and green-building expert with Pima County Development Services.

Hicks said there are currently four model-home plans for three different builders that comply with the program. One of those builders is Habitat for Humanity; another is the nonprofit Chicanos por la Causa. Also under review is a multifamily project with 348 units that could be part of the program. Additionally, Hicks said, several builders in town are looking to build homes under the LEED for Homes program, including an assisted-care community, a shopping center in Oro Valley and even a few fire stations.

“I speak to individuals every day, whether on the phone or in person, who want to know more about the program or want to enroll in our program,” Hicks said. “There is a lot of interest in our community, and it’s growing.”

Credits: Tucson Weekly

Posted in Home Improvement & Maintenance, Tucson Real Estate News | No Comments »

Last Day For Public Input On Grant Road Is Monday

November 14th, 2008

Monday is the last day to comment on the city’s proposed Grant Road alignment for widening the thoroughfare to three lanes in each direction between Oracle and Swan roads.

Construction on the three-phase project is not to begin until at least 2013 and will last through 2026.

The construction phases will be from Oracle to First Avenue, First Avenue to Tucson Boulevard, and Tucson Boulevard to Swan Road - but not necessarily in that order.

The Tucson Department of Transportation has contacted owners of properties that could be affected by the project - including partial or full takings.

The Grant Road Task Force, which has worked with transportation officials on the project for the past 18 months, is to recommend a final proposed alignment later this month.

The preferred alignment is to go to a vote of the City Council in January.
A map of the proposed alignment is on display at the Pima Association of Governments, 177 N. Church Ave., fourth floor.

It can be viewed online at www.grantroad.info.

Credits: Tucson Citizen

Posted in Tucson News | No Comments »

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